Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

This was weird, though now I get it. scala> 1 << 32 val res3: Int = 1 scala> (1 << 24) << 8 val res4: Int = 0

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“That people move from representing the presidency to representing banks is so normal that we forget the costs: the private job done with the savvy to outfox one’s former public-sector colleagues, the public job done gently to keep open doors” @anandwrites.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...

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Opinion | How the Elite Behave When No One Is Watching: Inside the Epstein Emails

Opinion | How the Elite Behave When No One Is Watching: Inside the Epstein Emails

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

#evergreen

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

and yet…

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

youtu.be/VOgFZfRVaww?...

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Imagine - John Lennon & The Plastic Ono Band (w The Flux Fiddlers) (Ultimate Mix 2018) - 4K REMASTER: YouTube video by johnlennon

Imagine - John Lennon & The Plastic Ono Band (w The Flux Fiddlers) (Ultimate Mix 2018) - 4K REMASTER

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

suppose there were an elixir you could drink and become a giant, but if you did it would be inevitable you would, wittingly or not, step on some people like ants. would it be ethical to drink it?

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“buildings are a bit like intellectual property, which also lasts longer than the economic horizon of the businesses that produce it. The economic argument for rent regulation is a bit like the argument for limiting patents and copyrights to a finite period.” // this is a very brilliant piece

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

an edit is always an addition, a delta in some form or a replacement. you want that, because history should be auditable to discourage malicious recontextualization of other people’s responses.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

i’m with you there.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Out of 10,000, I suspect that you are right. But if the error rate is small, N will have to be pretty large to get that confidence interval. 1/

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

@mattbruenig.bsky.social can speak for himself (but i think he’s rarely on this site). but i suspect a heuristic may be something like comparing the LLM to a hypothetical research assistant. 2/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

if, after extensive experience, it seems to perform as well as you’d expect, or significantly better than you’d expect, an RA whose work you’d use without full reverification, use the machine like an RA. 3/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

there’s obviously a problem there, an RA, whatever their hit or miss rate, can be held accountable ex post, which has some bearing on the quality of errors. a human would know where they must be especially careful, beyond a baseline error rate. 4/

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

but a supervisor doesn’t typically publish an error rate and confidence interval for work not fully rechecked by research assistants. 5/

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

when the error rate will be small, computing meaningful values would be laborious exercises. i don’t think it’s clear that will always be a good tradeoff. obviously it will depend on the expected cost of errors. /fin

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

we have drafts now. which is huge, not just for drafts, but for composing on a phone with multiple pastes. now we just need edit. please.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

He’s been using LLMs to summarize NLRB documents for years. He’s spent a lot of time manually reviewing the summaries. He’s about as expert a human as there is on the subject. It’s a mistake, I think, to imagine his apparent success with these tools are the mirages based on foolish naivety.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“LLMs are not just labor-replacing and productivity-expanding, but can, in some circumstances at least, enable the production of totally new things.” @mattbruenig.bsky.social mattbruenig.com/2026/02/10/t... ht @mitchsaid.bsky.social

Technical Details of My LLM-Generated Book – Matt Bruenig Dot Com

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

how have we let this be our world? ht @mpaulmcnamara.bsky.social

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

what did you think the “e” stood for?

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

(much to think about within the word “for” there.)

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“not funding community groups to implement strategies designed by national NGOs, but funding community groups to design strategy, period. That requires funders to give up control. Most aren’t willing to do that. Which reveals what this is really about.” @lennecefer.bsky.social

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

come spring the ice will melt.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

i did! sometimes i think economists’ definition of “real” is a deadpan gag, given how relentlessly it abstracts away from reality.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“Even a representative agent, forward-looking and fully aware of all the parameters surrounding them, can feel the vibecession.” @mtkonczal.bsky.social

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