look, i’m not really dead, the operation in which i was detonated was like 8th time as farce.
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look, i’m not really dead, the operation in which i was detonated was like 8th time as farce.
Loading quoted Bluesky post...
we’re all thin-skinned, but it isn’t about our pride or our takes or careers. when we forget that we’ll find we have less to be proud of and that our takes in fact grow stupider.
it’s not, as long as long as cap gains are matched by rising rents! again, the only cap gains that aren’t offset are when prices rise faster than capitalized rents, in one sense, the definition of a housing bubble!
I can agree that a holistic net wealth tax, rather than a tax specific to real property, would be better. after all, it is the state that organizes the infrastructure for secures ones entire wealth position. 1/
it’s also relevant to the personal situation of a homeowner. say you own a $2M home, but for whatever reasons, that’s effectively necessary, there are no reasonable cheaper options. you can sell and rent, but the stream of rents would capitalize to the same $2M you’d realize on sale. 1/
then what is your net worth? well, on the one hand, it’s $2M higher than if you didn’t own the home! you are definitely better off than owing a stream of rents worth $2M and having no corresponding asset. but you are not “rich”. all of your wealth is spoken for. 2/
if you can downgrade, say, in a few years when your kids are grown, then you do have net wealth. but another way of saying that is the stream of rents you’d owe without the house would capitalize to less than the $2M the house is worth, because the rents owed would decrease over time. 3/
you only have net wealth, though, to the degree you can reasonably consider downgrading, if the value if your home is no more than the capitalized value of what it would cost to rent. 4/
(that last is not always true! in the runup to 2008, price-to-rent ratios were very elevated, you could sell, owe the capitalized rent stream, and still come out ahead.) 5/
I want to see a lot of public sector LLMs. In fact, I think most of what contemporary tech platforms do should be migrated to the public sector.
but they are arguably offset by an equivalent off-balance-sheet liability. it’s useful, as @kevinerdmann.bsky.social suggests, to decompose a homeowner into landlord + renter. as landlord ΔNW grows, and that typically appears on individual and aggregate balance sheets. 1/
but as renter, the same asset is a liability, only because of accounting conventions (it’s not a formally booked liability), individual and aggregate balance sheets omit that. for a homeowner whose intention is to not to downsize/downgrade housing, effective ΔNW is 0. 2/
(interestingly, the main change is the risk level the homeowner becomes capable of taking on. a person with no assets cannot put $1M at risk. nor can a person with a $100K home. no one will lend $1M. a person with 0 NW, net their short position in housing, but a $1.5M home can put $1M at risk.) /fin
probably the best way to think about it is an appreciated homeowner doesn’t really have 0NW because they have a valuable asset in the *option* to downgrade. just how valuable that is, net of the disutility or diswelfare they’d endure for downgrading, is very circumstance dependent.
it’s weird how the current view from the right is most of us are lazy leaches and moochers but we’re not making enough of us.
@kevinerdmann.bsky.social has really captured a dynamic (very empirically) that defies common intuitions, but then makes perfect sense once you understand it, about what and who drives (and is driven to penury by) housing inflation.
“The value of future rent inflation is capitalized in home prices and counted as an asset for homeowners. But the cost of future rents is undetermined for any family at any given time…so…not counted as a liability.” @kevinerdmann.bsky.social www.mercatus.org/research/res... ht @steveroth.bsky.social
we should rename this site The Donald J. Trump Bluesky Microblogging Platform, just to fuck with everybody.
a lot of the controversy is over whether the best antifascism is working to revert to the democracy—crippled and captured but broadly liberal—that we enjoyed 15 years ago, or else to leave that in the past and work towards some more substantive social democracy.
the best laid plans of mice and men gang aft a-gley. but failing to plan at all is worse.
you know trumpism’s days are numbered when the supreme court suddenly stands boldly athwart a trump or vance administration, erring on the side of forbidding rather than tolerating its putative excesses. they’ll disown their own life’s work to save their legacies and perhaps their skins.