Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

It's the most courteous administration. Nobody is more courteous. Lots of people are saying so. 😜

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

it does make sense! but usually the tech glamor stocks are pretty correlated.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

The Dow is green. US markets are mixed today.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

ha! Apple and Meta way up, Microsoft and Google way down. it's almost too perfect, too cute, how well it lines up with the story.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

With the magic of misgendering, ping-pong balls become eggs, and eggs become very cheap!

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

I don't! But I love it.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

I play with 'em all, while they're free and right there in a text box! But the only ones I've ever run locally are Meta's. I look forward to trying DeepSeek's. I will only really be comfortable with them when they are running under infrastructure I control (and not showing me ads).

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Because tech has proven so oligarchical, so susceptible to absolute domination. Meta doesn't dispute the centrality of AI, so they fear a clear winner will eat their lunch at everything else. (You can see from their a bit silly experiments they think AI has important social media applications.)

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

It's a really good thing, though. The only I-gotta-hand-it I have for Meta. Linus Torvalds famously described the point of Linux not as "creating financial value" but sucking that value out of operating systems. If he hadn't, we'd all be paying exorbitant taxes to Microsoft and some commercial UNIX.

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

I've thought Meta's strategy was defense, to prevent too much value accruing in generative AI, because they felt like they were not to be in a position to become a market leader. If that's right, DeepSeek's intervention is a high-five.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

i think we should commit to $2T Made-In-America AI capex, just to prove to China we can't be bowed. Galaxygate, mofos.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

MSFT might claim a lot of things. LOL is often the right reaction.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

I can’t say for sure! But it sure does seem like cope. Maybe demand increases with efficiency here, maybe not. No one has any kind of model of the relationship between AI demand and price.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Sputnik, except our rival player published rather than classified all their tech specs. Maybe zero-sum national rivalry is not the best way to think about this? I’m pretty glad the prospect of oligarchical dominance has diminished, even if the oligarchs in question are American.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

instead of helping people rebuild what it makes no sense to build, what if we eminent-domain burnt-out neighborhoods, compensate generously, modify laws as necessary to ensure cash settlements of insurance contracts, and build anew, on less, more defensible land, at much higher density?

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

bring it!

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

it’s a paradox, but ads subtract.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“To predict the consequences of an invasion and seizure of Greenland is unthinkable because it’s like asking ‘what would happen if gravity smelled like Roquefort?’ And yet!” ~Paul Musgrave musgrave.substack.com/p/the-green-...

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The Green Dawn Scenario: What it means when the unthinkable is becoming thinkable

The Green Dawn Scenario

Link Preview: The Green Dawn Scenario: What it means when the unthinkable is becoming thinkable
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

(thanks!)

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

How expensive would it be to run a full-size DeepSeek-R1 on ones own hardware or rented server? Instead of paying giant service providers, could small communities of people affordably run their own, for privacy and ideally customization?

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

you know you are strong when everybody hates you.

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