Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

“Big, credible news media outlets are mostly unable to imbue their reporting…with the seriousness that is warranted: whether due to their proprietors, their finances, or other sources of obeisance towards Trump/Musk.” @katemac.bsky.social @70sbachchan.bsky.social buttondown.com/polycrisisdi...

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Organizing around and without the US: Hello readers, We skipped last week's newsletter to focus on getting the

Organizing around and without the US

Link Preview: Organizing around and without the US: Hello readers, We skipped last week's newsletter to focus on getting the "Polycrisis 2025" year opener newsletter out on Phenomenal World. It came out around...
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

maybe we can have the AIs fight out the civil war for us, claude vs grok or something. automate the unpleasant work.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

not really. firms would do their best to source leads from other countries’ academics, private labs, etc. in aggregate, the loss of leads from their premier source, US academia, would bite sector profitability, but there’d be lots of uncertainty which firms still managed to source winners.

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

people say mastodon is some kind of lefty echo chamber, but i get some pretty wild stuff. clew.lol/notice/AqtFs...

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w0rm (@dsm@clew.lol): @p @dcc @Phil @interfluidity   Imagine talking to communists and not just killing them.  How strange.

w0rm (@dsm@clew.lol)

Link Preview: w0rm (@dsm@clew.lol): @p @dcc @Phil @interfluidity Imagine talking to communists and not just killing them. How strange.
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

vandals.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

can they? they did a great job with Boeing. or with the banks before the financial crisis, the source of IBGUBG. does the valuation of NVIDIA represent a sober forward looking DCF exercise? Tesla?

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

if AGI is intelligence superior to human intelligence, we're testing the proposition you can achieve it by reducing the latter rather than raising the former.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

the pipeline from basic research to profit$ takes some time. by the time there's nothing in the pipeline, IBGUBG.

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

elon musk is a one man swarm of locusts.

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

from @joemenn.bsky.social @jeffstein.bsky.social @ellenwapo.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec... ht @nathantankus.bsky.social // things most payment systems don't have to consider

Text:

The Bureau of the Fiscal Service ensures that Pentagon contractors, software vendors and U.S. spies overseas are paid. With spies, the means of payment are varied and generally indirect to avoid revealing any U.S. government connection, according to former national security officials. Text: The Bureau of the Fiscal Service ensures that Pentagon contractors, software vendors and U.S. spies overseas are paid. With spies, the means of payment are varied and generally indirect to avoid revealing any U.S. government connection, according to former national security officials.
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

me too! a 2002 book about the period 70 years prior couldn't be more current. no offense to your aunt, but i'd prefer it was your book that was current. i hope it will be very, very soon.

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Orban just had to kick Central European University out. Trump has so many!

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

( interfluidity office hours begin in a coupla minutes if anone wants to drop by www.interfluidity.com/office-hours/ )

Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

We are very grateful you are here now. Whenever wonderful people come, we are delighted to have you.

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

there's no need for formal background checks. Musk of course only hires the very best people, people of the very best character. these are kids or almost kids. juvenile misbehavior oughtn't permanently condemn them. but they have no business anywhere near secure mission-critical systems right now.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

never their fault. thin-skin is a genetic malformation. they are more sinned against than sinning, the poor dears.

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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

for a Trump contract, sure. that's why the example I gave was a Mayor. 1/

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

and the incentive also depends on unlikelihood. if the Mayor is likely to win reelection, prediction markets say 90%, there's an 11% return on what you bet to save him, less all the security costs, and a 900% return on what you bet to ensure he loses, less costs. that's an asymmetry! /fin

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

i love how the AI they think is so smart is in fact smarter than they are.

in reply to this
Session with claude.ai:

Prompt: Can you please bring me a cup of tea?

Response: 
I need to clarify something - I'm an AI assistant who can help with many tasks, but I can't physically bring you tea or interact with the real world. I can, however, help you with other things like providing tea recommendations, explaining different brewing methods, or assisting with any other questions you might have. What would be most helpful?

Session with claude.ai: Prompt: Can you please bring me a cup of tea? Response: I need to clarify something - I'm an AI assistant who can help with many tasks, but I can't physically bring you tea or interact with the real world. I can, however, help you with other things like providing tea recommendations, explaining different brewing methods, or assisting with any other questions you might have. What would be most helpful?
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

yes, but some things are easier to do than others. it's easier to light a wildfire, when conditions permit, than to simultaneously put one out. it's easier and surer to kill a person who might become Mayor than to work to help them become Mayor.

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

from @andrealongchu.bsky.social nymag.com/intelligence... ht @ryanlcooper.com

Text:

I think of it as the far center: a loose coalition of disillusioned Democrats, principled humanists, staid centrists, anti-woke journalists, civil libertarians, wronged entertainers, skeptical academics, and toothless novelists, all brought together by their shared antipathy to what they regard as the illiberal left. The far center is for free speech and bourgeois institutions; it is against cancel culture, student protests, and radicalism of any kind. Yet it rejects the idea of a shared ideology or politics. Instead, its members see themselves as independently sane individuals — concerned citizens who wish only to defend civil society from the unbearable encroachments of politics. So the far center is liberal, in that its highest value is freedom; but it is also reactionary, in that its vision of freedom lacks any corresponding vision of justice.

It can be difficult to tell the far center from regular old conservatism. Text: I think of it as the far center: a loose coalition of disillusioned Democrats, principled humanists, staid centrists, anti-woke journalists, civil libertarians, wronged entertainers, skeptical academics, and toothless novelists, all brought together by their shared antipathy to what they regard as the illiberal left. The far center is for free speech and bourgeois institutions; it is against cancel culture, student protests, and radicalism of any kind. Yet it rejects the idea of a shared ideology or politics. Instead, its members see themselves as independently sane individuals — concerned citizens who wish only to defend civil society from the unbearable encroachments of politics. So the far center is liberal, in that its highest value is freedom; but it is also reactionary, in that its vision of freedom lacks any corresponding vision of justice. It can be difficult to tell the far center from regular old conservatism.