Doesn't have to be weight classes though. Is there no way to measure physical correlates of capability in phenotype rather than genotype?
I do think there are sports this kind of idea will be more or less plausible for. Wrestling, my intuition was, would survive scrutiny for sex segregation, although some interlocutors came at me with counterexamples on that! Rugby also, intuitively. 1/
So, one way to put this critique would be, if sports were ability- rather than sex- segregated, the leagues in which women competed would be so vast or multiple (as very ordinary men would share the placement of elite women)… 1/
it wouldn't be like the pros vs college or minor leagues, but like the pros vs little league teams. Women would only place among real mediocrities with men. 2/
That might be the case, but it would depend quite a lot on details of the distribution that I don't think we can presume. How frequent are real outliers? As individuals, might they gain a lot of recognition, even if the bulk of women competitors, as is already the case, don't get so much? /fin
Again, I'm willing to cop to the possibility I'm wrong and making a common mistake. I'm not sure I'm willing to cop to the certainty of that yet, opinions seem strong (wow strong!), but not unmixed. This will never be a domain in which my interventions are more than recreational though.
I guess I'd say I'd want to run the experiment, again I think we're reverting to stereotype a bit. We might find it really fun to have co-ed, ability segregated teams, and they might not be as awful as you imagine. Why not try to find good ability measures and constitute leagues, see what we get? 1/
That's my expectation! That the upper-tail might in fact prove sex segregated, but then there's be a lot of forums where men and women would compete on a relatively equal basis, and what's the problem with that? Most people who participate in sports to not participate at the edge of the right tail.
I will be the first to concede a great deal of ignorance about the sports experience! It's mostly not my thing. I might be totally off-base. There is some interesting kurtosis in the responses I'm getting. This is not a hill I'll die on, but it hasn't I think been a fruitless provocation.
Suppose that these anecdotes do generalize and are in fact representative. (That's a big supposition!) 1/
Then if we were to develop direct measures of capability rather than relying on sex as a correlate, we'd end up effectively reconstructing sex-segregated sports, EXCEPT we'd have an ability to place outliers, including spontaneous outliers like Caster Semenya and new outliers like trans people. 2/
For most sports, we can't just observe within-sex performance and extrapolate to some kind of commensurable, absolute ability. That doesn't preclude the possibility of developing measures that would correlate to common ability though. It just means we have work to do in figuring out what those are.
In whatever the grip strength sport would be, wouldn't the strongest women and weakest men be in the same league according to this graph? Disjoint would mean a gap. Still, maybe the weakest-gripped men would find other sports than grip, so in practice disjoint. 1/
But don't you think there are sports this would not generalize to? I don't doubt there might be some sports where — setting aside rare but recurring spontaneous outliers and more recently trans people — capabilities are approximately disjoint, but I don't think that it is nearly all of them. /fin
Of course there would be female champions, just perhaps not at the highest weight or strength class.
I'm glad to concede soccer points. My understanding of the game derives from whatever you call the league eleven-year-olds play at. If grown-ups are dicks to one another, that's no great surprise. 1/
Do they foul-tackle one another in what's now women's soccer? Are women more susceptible to injury if they are tackled by people of similar weight and strength? Are they worse (under the "right" incentives) at giving as hard as they are asked to take? 2/
There wouldn't be "male leagues". That's the whole point. Is being a welterwight champion an injustice because you cannot be a heavyweight champion?
No, I wasn't saying you misunderstood my point, just that your tweet read in a legit amusing way! 1/
A more substantive response would be, stipulating race is less correlated with elite ability than sex, it's a difference of degree rather than kind, while the costs of discrimination arguably remain sharp. 2/
Here are my priors: You'll find that the right tails of the distributions are mostly disjoint, but the middles of the distributions are far from disjoint, the combined distribution has substantial mixed regions. 1/
I'm pretty sure that's right for most sports, but I'll concede it could be wrong. I'm not going to look it up, because this is a conversation far from my core interests and my time is limited. 2/
If you or anyone else wants to go to the trouble of say, charting full distributions of proxies of relevant ability (relatively easy for something like track! much harder for team sports, where observed outcomes depend on capabilities of teammates and opponents!), I'll be interested. 3/
I'd concede there is less of a trade-off to sex segregation in a sport with such (still usually implausible to me) disjoint distributions of capabilities, tho there still are tradeoffs due to outliers of various sorts (including both trans people + other potential sources of unusual capability) /fin
Soccer is not a tackle sport, and to the degree there are fouls or whatever women of similar size and strength to the men they are competing with will not be in some special danger. 1/
This is one of the most fun out-of-context tweets I've yet encountered.
There may be sports where the distributions really are pretty much disjoint! By my priors, I'm skeptical, but that could be wrong, for some sports. 1/
And sure, for such a sport you could argue very little is lost segregating by sex or gender (or at least was until mainstreaming of trans rendered the categories less distinct). 2/
Even in such a sport, it's always possible for an extraordinary person to emerge from the inferior gender. In these cases, is the individual injustice of exclusion outweighed by the easy sorting that sex (perhaps once upon a time) enables? I guess that's a values question. 3/
But then we find that in sex segregated sport, such extraordinary individuals sometimes are banned from competing within their own sex category, cf Caster Semenya edition.cnn.com/2023/11/06/s... 4/
Given the existence of such outliers, and now the existence of trans people as well who further muddle whatever imperfect distinction across distributions that once existed, why isn't choosing more direct correlates of capability a better approach to defining like that ought compete with like? /fin
