Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

so, lots not quite right with this. labor's share of income as conventionally measured is no longer >60%. that it was roughly constant used to be taken as a stylized fact (Nicholas Kaldor characterized it as such), but it's been in steep decline since Y2K. fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LABSH... 1/

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Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States: Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States

Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States

Link Preview: Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States: Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States
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Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

more fundamentally, the denominator of GDP isn't the same as the source of purchasing power for consumption in a distributional sense. 2/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

for example (calling @steveroth.bsky.social), the majority of income from wealth over time, over many decades, comes from capital gains, mere revaluation of claims, which is not included in GDP (or GDI) at all. yet you can spend from your appreciated stock as easily as you spend from dividends. 3/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

(I think @steveroth.bsky.social publishes a labor-share series that adjusts for this.) 4/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

More interestingly in this context is inequality within the broad category of what gets measured as "labor income". Thus the distinction I am trying to make between "career" as returns from social capital and wage labor. 5/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Both wage labor and returns to social capital show up as part of "labor share". But for the purposes of this conversation, they are profoundly distinct. 6/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

The traditional left took for granted that nonsupervisory labor, the bulk of labor, took the form of hourly work, that human hours were imperfectly but largely substitutable, which imposed bounds on how divergent fortunes could be within a (by definition) proletariat. 7/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

That has two implications: (1) A proletariat with somewhat similar, shared interest constitutes the bulk of society, collectively they would be powerful and their interests are in fact aligned; and (2) a society organized around and on behalf of such a proletariat would be not be too unjust. 8/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Because they constitute most of the beyond-home labor force, and because their claims to production are based on the same clock + similar hands, a society on behalf of workers of the world not be perfectly equal, but wld not suffer the huge spreads in fortune and misfortune of (some) capitalisms. 9/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Social capital and the, um, democratization of the modern "career" break this logic entirely. Lots of what gets coded as labor income is independent of measured time working. In lots of roles, you might take a salary earn hundreds of thousands of dollars with no tracking at all of time spent. 10/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

I'm not commenting here on whether that work is adequately productive to justify the wage or not. Undoubtedly sometimes yes, sometimes no, it's just a sinecure. But that's not the point. 11/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

The dispersion of remuneration of this kind of work makes it look more like capital income than labor income. The "social capital" we often impute that remuneration as being a return too is not freely and competitively available to its most capable user. It's bound to identity and history. 12/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

The traditional left, after Marx, sees affordances in the nature of wage labor that mean there's a proletariat that should perceive shared interest, and if society were governed in its interest, a society whose fruits were widely shared would emerge. The main group opposed would be capital. 13/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

But the replacement of relatively compressed wage labor with widely divergent careers, the ascendance of the resumé or CV as a kind of capital, breaks this. 14/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Workers whose pay in high and entirely decoupled from measured time have interests that overlap with capital. Compression of remuneration toward norms bound by hours and hands would not be in their interest. 15/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Plus, because many of these "workers" earns a great surplus relative to ordinary incomes and lifestyles, they come to accumulate capital, so they blur the lines between traditional labor and capital. They are both. 16/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

And they are the trendsetting class in contemporary society, the definers of what constitutes a good life. 17/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

(@brankomilan.bsky.social has coined a term "homoploutia" or "homoploutic" to characterize this group.) 18/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

That this has become the dominant class breaks the traditional left. One doesn't become awesome in our society through solidaristic wage labor. One doesn't even make it to not-a-loser category through selling readily substitutable hours. 19/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Increasing returns to work among the homoploutic is about distinguishing yourself from other workers, and decoupling your remuneration from anything measurable as time, both via how you are paid as a "worker", and via capital income. 20/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Americans don't think of themselves aspirationally as just workers any more, because being a simple work yields an underclass to lower-middle-class life, with lots of precarity. It yields no prestige, no belonging to a club of proud, stable people. 21/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

What's aspirational is a "career". But there is little solidarity in careerism. Although professionals do have some common interests, they are competitors for higher places in tournaments with widely divergent outcomes. 22/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

And that wide divergence of outcomes means a society organized by + for professionals wouldn't necessarily have the middle-class character of an old-school workers-of-the-world society. It might not be all that different than a society organized by and on behalf of capital. 23/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

They might even join forces, which, in a nutshell, is, in my view, the story of the neoliberal era the backlash to which we are now struggling to collectively survive. /fin

in reply to self