the colombia fracas, the omb fracas, only over the last few days. i think we’ll see the same with some of the tariff threats against e.g. Canada and Mexico. will their really be an abrupt 25%? (we already did see a Mex tariff walkback and declaration of victory once, after a Sheinbaum call.) 1/

oddly, a template might be abortion, where the GOP really did catch the car and face some consequences. but Trump had such success neutralizing the issue by walking it back, yet still gets credit from his own side for killing roe. others faced consequences, but Trump enjoyed having it both ways./fin