I don’t disagree. If the Democratic Party plainly better served his material / monarchical interests, he’d talk up trans rights and start every meeting with a land acknowledgement. 1/

But the claim I think people like @mattyglesias.bsky.social try to make is that there’s some world in which people like Musk support the progressive values despite the kind of modest material costs an Obama would impose relative to Republicans lower taxes and greater deference. 2/

There might be a colorable case there for a lot of tech titans. But for Musk — and he’s hardly alone, there’s been a lot of toying with “race realism” in tribe gray for years, i swear i have some scars to prove it — it does not strike me as remotely plausible. 3/

These people have had strongly held views they’ve felt they had to suppress, and would have to suppress in anything remotely like the post-FDR Democratic coalition. 4/

They also like the freedom to do drugs and stuff, which they’d have had to suppress in the historical Republican coalition. 5/

But once a libertine, “race-realist”-curious, business (monopoly) friendly realignment occurred in the Republican Party, why wouldn’t they have jumped? (And that stuff precedes their influence, and is not down to Thiel. Trump done it.) 6/

The only real constraint was the values of their progressively college educated employees. But over the last two years, they feel they’ve acquired a whip hand there. 7/

So, jump they have. /fin