Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Hedges can break, and must always be limited. Trade counterparties don't need to hedge for years. They need to hedge over a production cycle. 1/

in reply to this
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

Counterparties in FX hedges for hub-and-spoke trade are hub-country institutions, who might be forced to provide hub-currency on disadvantageous terms. *In extremis* they can be bailed out by hub country central banks. 2/

in reply to self
Steve Randy Waldman
@interfluidity.com

(To receivers of hub currency, there is the risk of its decline relative to local, the goal is to insure against local currency strength. The depth of those markets are largely up to local currency markets. But note that the current practice of reserve currency accumulation doesn't hedge that.) /fin

in reply to self