@buermann @darwinwoodka That was the idea. But is it working out very well? The New York Times is (absurdly) healthy. Some substackers do very well. A cost is many people are excluded from important information, and the mediasphere is less open and conversational. Overall, is this a direction we should make the best of, try to stick with, or should we consider this not great, the problem at-best unsolved?

I’m unhappily surprised there is no provision for declaring an outcome invalid and reversing trades if a candidate fails to become President by virtue of untimely death or debilitation.

ForecastEx is the prediction market whose contracts will trade on Interactive Brokers.

https://data.forecastex.com/regulatory/PRESTermsandConditions.pdf

@BenRossTransit i think that’s about right.

@BenRossTransit do you think it’s usually read as an act of generosity, a way of softening the blow? is it effective at that?

i agree it’s offered because what’s coming next is going to be harsh. but i read it more as a kind of perfunctory attempt to immunize the speaker for that harshness, rather than any kind of generosity for the hearer.

you can’t be too clever about what you think you learn from people who are trying to lie to you.

are there institutional differences between US and e.g. European unions that render automation resistance (and featherbedding generally) much more prominent in the US than in other, more unionized, economies?

does sectoral bargaining somehow diminish these aspects?

Is the ubiquitously paywalled media ecosystem of today more or less healthy than the media ecosystem of the early 2000s “information wants to be free” era? are the larger worlds they subsist in just too different to render a comparison meaningful?

Usually people who begin a claim with “I’m sorry, but…” aren’t actually sorry.

A key tactic of right-wing politics is identifying and then sabotaging the parts of government whose smooth functioning would prevent the crisis you want to demagogue.

"Congress needs to repeal the Federal Arbitration Act." @40Years https://40yrs.blogspot.com/2024/10/yeah-still-evil.html

// If you've ever clicked anything on the internet (or someone else clicked stuff on your phone) + you get injured in an Uber, you'll be going to arbitration rather than have your day in court

a thing i would not have predicted, presidential prediction markets on Interactive Brokers.

It’s a bit weird to hold up Florida as an example of good YIMBY policy. Florida policy does help get a lot of multifamily housing built! But overwhelmingly in ways contrary to YIMBY urbanist/environmental ideals. Maybe some restriction should attach to the liberties YIMBYs recommend? https://www.slowboring.com/p/housing-policy-isnt-that-complicated

@Alexander_Anotherskip_Davis @Inoreader Well, there’s no need for any podcast service at all. Listeners just subscribe directly to the RSS feed all podcasts already publish. From a podcast creator’s perspective, if more of the audience did this, you’d be less beholden to Apple/Google/Spotify/Amazon etc.

Under its new (desktop) interface, @Inoreader embeds a decent podcast player. Just subscribe to podcast RSS feeds, and listen to episodes right in the reader.

#RSS

sure it can be a bit wriggly, maybe even a little bit gross, but that’s just what a healthy macrobiome looks like.

@PRW i feel so… SPECIAL! 🤗

am i the only person for whom the names “vance” and “walz” code as oddly similar? i sometimes hear a claim about one and misinterpret it as referring to the other until i double-check myself.

@chrisp historically the corporate income tax was progressive, but it’s so low now any progressivity that remains (i don’t know) would be over a pretty narrow range,

freedom includes the right to be left alone, but that doesn’t mean being left alone should be the default.

@railmeat That’d be great. But most of them were not born at that time. For almost 60 years they’ve been in territories under Israeli control, so they should have Israeli citizenship.