@Phil i rely on NOAA to protect my life and property with hurricane tracking and forecasts. it has done an amazing job.

contemporary weather forecasts are reasonably accurate out to seven days. your claim was true when i was growing up, maybe when you were too, but it has not been for some time. weather monitoring and prediction is remarkably good now, and we rely upon it for everything from tornado warnings to flight routing. ourworldindata.org/weather-for