@Alon @kentwillard My friend, I think you are doing a great deal of wishcasting of your own preferences. I wish inflation were less popular than unemployment. From a welfarist perspective, inflation is less harmful. But at least as popularity is refracted through democratic politics, inflation is much, much less popular. Unemployment harms a small fraction of the public grievously, and holds the bulk relatively harmless. Inflation harms all the way through past the median voter.

@Alon @kentwillard Farmer riots and truck parades are certainly not broadly popular. Neither are labor strikes. All these things inconvenience normies and piss them off. But they are narrow actions that seek to advance the interests of large groups, groups which may not be majorities but which correctly enjoy political power in democracies, mechanically because coalitions require them, morally because they are big enough their welfare is an important component of the polity's.

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@Alon @kentwillard The relationship between urbanization and inequality is complex, like the relationship between growth and inequality is complex. It is not defensible to say that urbanization creates equality. It is also not defensible to say urbanization always creates inequality, although that is usually its very short-term effect. 1/

@Alon @kentwillard But trying to impose a preference for urbanism and geographic dynamism on the coat tails of egalitarian values is definitely not defensible. There have been more equal and less equal agrarian and urban societies. We don't know what the shape of the future is. Perhaps you have a very particular urbanistic, dynamic, egalitarian development path in mind, but mere "urbanization" is not necessarily, not remotely necessarily, egalitarian. /fin

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@Alon @kentwillard It's shocking that people with the perspective you are offering have a hard time winning votes from people who choose — perhaps, because by definition in your view their parents abused them — to live grounded in their natal communities. You may not like these people, but either we have a democracy that accommodates them, or we have an authoritarianism where either you prevail over them, or they prevail over you. I'm for the democracy that accommodates them.

@Alon @kentwillard No one is moralizing against migration. Migration is great, for those who will do it. What we are moralizing against, and should moralize against, is apologizing for bad outcomes for those who do not or will not. Sure, there can be economic incentive to "move to opportunity", but failing to do so should not mean life in an opioid-ridden hellhole. It is nothing other than democracy that is punishing us for tolerating that for so long.

@Alon @kentwillard Urbanization creates growth, not equality. On the contrary. cf China. We can quibble about surveys, but it remains true that there is a very, very large cohort of people who have and likely will always, absent very sharp changes in our circumstances, remain near family and childhood community, close to the place they were born. Trying to undo this is quite a radical project, utopian or dystopian. Ignoring this cohort is morally indefensible and politically catastrophic.

@vxo @jonathankoren zirk.us/@interfluidity/1120754

@realcaseyrollins it's the new economy!

If Donald Trump is reelected, instead of polls tracking his approval rating, news orgs will just follow ticker symbol $DJT on the stock market.

@Alon @kentwillard If we are concerned abt welfare, we are concerned abt the welfare of all the humans, not just those willing or able to move to opportunity under current circumstance, even if that wld increase their productivity. If we are concerned abt democratic politics, we are concerned about the humans in proportion to their numbers, and if the fraction willing or able to move to opportunity is modest, don't blame "populism" for the bankruptcy of a politics that slights the place-bound.

@Alon @kentwillard None of this prejudices the solution space. One way to address the disconnect is to make it easier for people to live the dynamism imagined of homo economicus. Another way is to reshape productivity, so that, for example, geographical dynamism is less necessary because remote work. Lots of possibilities!

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@Alon @kentwillard But if most of the working class still live within 15 miles of their parents, any "populism" — any functional democracy — will put a great deal of weight on those people as "representatives of the real working class".

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@Alon @kentwillard (note: i edited "profitability" to "productivity" in one of the above posts; that's the word i'd intended to write.)

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@jjoelson You’ve anticipated my response! Yes, sometimes large firms deploy market power on behalf of their own interests AND consumer welfare when they overlap, and it may be tempting to celebrate that. But it often works out badly. Firms with market power are simply not who we want acting quasigovernmentally on behalf of the public. As imperfect as our democracy is, their ability to weigh conflicting interests, and the bias imposed by the profit incentive, render the approach dangerous. 1/

@jjoelson The quintessential example is WalMart. In the 1990s, many of us (me too!) celebrated how WalMart was openly deploying its monopsony power (the power that comes from being a near-“monopoly” buyer, rather than seller) to squeeze suppliers for lower prices, even offering free consulting services to help them reorganize more “efficiently”. 2/

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@jjoelson The net result seemed great at first — every day low prices! — but WalMart’s efforts destroyed many US companies by making them little Boeings, in the way we now understand Boeing to have destroyed itself. Plus, WalMart contributed hugely to the offshoring of American manufacturing to places where “low cost” (meaning often sweatshop or near enslaved) labor could be employed to cut costs. 3/

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@jjoelson This was regrettable self-interestedly (offshoring US manufacturing so thoroughly has been a catastrophe for the US), and ethically (though that’s a more complicated case, you can argue that sweatshop near-slaver to multinationals is the first rung on a ladder to China style development, so is it “worth it”?). WalMart in any case continued relentlessly, because all the offshoring and price restraint contributed to its profitability. 4/

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@jjoelson WalMart exercised its market power very openly and flagrantly against its suppliers, but under the then prevailing consumer-welfare standard, it was immunized from antitrust attention, since its exercise of market power seemed (under the narrow terms of antitrust analysis of the time) to be in consumers’ interest. 5/

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@jjoelson You are right, I think, that sometimes Apple has used its market power where its interests and consumers have been aligned. Steve Jobs’ hard bargains with cell carriers may have been good for consumers as well as Apple. (With ebooks, there’s some irony, Apple was breaking Amazon’s WalMart-like use of monopsony prices to restrain ebook prices to $9.99! Was that “good”, because breaking the monopsony, or bad because raising consumer prices?) 6/

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@jjoelson Given the world as it was, maybe Apple taking on these roles was at least provisionable laudable. But the world as it was, where the government had abandoned its role in regulating and structuring market competition, is exactly what DoJ now is trying to revise. Apple is just one of many firms that — very much rightly, in my view — will have to revise how it does business in light of a new and ultimately better reality. /fin

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@jjoelson (it’s worth pointing out, if it makes you feel any better? that Apple really isn’t being singled out. DoJ is going after Big Tech, of which Apple is clearly a member. all its peers are in its crosshairs too. i agree that Apple is in some respects better than its peers, but as we agreed i think, especially in not-directly consumer facing exercises of market power like CarPlay, Apple is hardly an angel either. it hasn’t earned some kind of immunity from big-techness, i think.)

@muratk5n@fosstodon.org unless/until you tax them away.

@muratk5n@fosstodon.org cf interfluidity.com/v2/8012.html

Baltimore, my native city, just can’t seem to catch a break. No pun intended. It’s been a rough couple of decades. amp.cnn.com/cnn/us/live-news/b

This post is clickbait.

@walruslifestyle@octodon.social @djc @clacke (i’ve done a post on this stuff, fwiw.) drafts.interfluidity.com/2024/

@Alon asset market prices can rise due socially valuable growth in production, or socially predatory expansion of profits at the expense of customers, workers, or vendors. can’t usefully talk about normatively about asset market prices without distinguishing these things. inflation is a bitch, politically. austerian policy is not usually desirable—better to run an economy hot, from a welfare perspective—but if you’re not in some way managing inflation or perceptions thereof, politics get hard.

[new draft post] Why does wage compression underwhelm? drafts.interfluidity.com/2024/

"many feudal lords were not lazy, either: competing for power and dominance is hard work – yet, it is still different from the competition based on profit and market dynamics which constitutes the backbone of capitalism." crookedtimber.org/2024/03/25/c

@jjoelson @matthewstoller I agree it would be bad for antitrust activity to force Apple to become Android. I don't think that's likely though. I think what's likely is Apple will be able to set and control strict standards about what integrates—on consistency, simplicity, and safety grounds—but will have to tolerate compliant integration. To immunize itself, Apple will seek a modest set of carefully compliant partner-competitors, not try to include device drivers for every half-baked new thing.