@realcaseyrollins You’ll say it’s my bias as “left” (whatever that means), but I think the arrest and ordinary criminal trial of the fraction of people who participated in January 6 and left sufficient documentary evidence for conviction of specific crimes by a jury of their peers is quite distinct from summarily rounding up millions of people, then detaining and deporting them without trial. 1/

@realcaseyrollins Even if you concede some injustice (I don’t, in general, though don’t doubt there may be particular cases of overreach), just the scale makes a huge difference. There are on the order of 1000 Jan 6 indictees. Trump says he plans to detain and deport 10M+. To abuse the moral weather analogy, a breezy drizzle and a hurricane are kind of the same, but also different. /fin

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins In what sense? January 6 strikes me as not remotely as horrific as it could have been, had there been the very sharp crackdown by national guard that everyone now blames everyone for not arranging.

@realcaseyrollins Germany’s initial plan was to deport European Jews to Madagascar. Nothing so special. Israel would rather deport than murder, so it’s murdering slowly in hopes that deport becomes an option.

@realcaseyrollins (this feels like a throwaway, but it strikes me as pretty meaningless and untrue unless by fetish you mean an obsession with perceiving rather than perpetrating these horrors.)

@realcaseyrollins No, it didn’t. The Trump administration’s most brutal policy was family separation, and that applied only to new arrivals, not to undocumented with deep connections to their communities and US citizen kids. Maybe Trump doesn’t mean it when he says he’ll deport 10M+ people regardless of their tenure and integration, but if he does, we haven’t seen anything like it.

@realcaseyrollins I understood the reference to be negative. My point is that it is not all that different from , in fact it is just . We've rendered ourselves idiots by thinking there was something so very special about the Nazis. All that was special about them is they started a war that proved so total atrocity became ordinary and any action was justifiable. Russia has moved in that direction with the dangerous war it started, and may move further yet.

@realcaseyrollins I think you are playing with words to console yourself. Life in Russia is pretty bad, if you are a military-aged male outside of certain elite ethnicities and geographies. You are likely to be sent to war in a way entirely unlike how Americans have been sent to war recently, into a “meat grinder”, a game of Russian roulette. Large groups of people are forcibly relocated or detained in very bad camps. 1/

@realcaseyrollins Israel/Palestine has gone from perpetrating a Jim-Crow-like apartheid to routinizing massacre and torture. 2/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins We in the United States put a glass wall around the period of the 1930s/1940s, we mythologized into the opposite of a fairy tale, but something equally distant from ourselves, our “normal lives”. Intellectuals like Hannah Arendt, who had just lived through it all, marveled at this in real time. 3/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins Nazis were a real political movement, like other political movements. They were not so special. Making them so — treating them as some extraordinary evil that came from out of space, incomparable to everything else — lobotomizes us. We’ve seen both in Russia and in Israel/Palestine wartime exigencies bring back what is not some weird occult work of Satan, but ways of being that derive from moral and logistical pressures. 4/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins “Fascism” is a very ordinary thing. It’s not extraordinary. It’s a primary color in politics, used to some degree by all political movements, but to importantly varying degrees. Ginning up an internal enemy as a source of movement coherence is its signature move. The Trumpists obviously do this. So does Biden (“MAGA Rpublicans”). But the degrees and frequency are quite different. 5/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins It’s policy choices, not ideological commitment or some deep inchoate evil, that would drive us to the kind of horrors we associate with fascism. People start doing terrible things when the “moral weather” is full of terrible things, terrible things must be done, better we do what we have to do to avoid being the victims of the terrors. 6/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins For example, choosing to round-up people unlawfully present, regardless of length of tenure, degree of connectedness to their communities, existence of citizen children, etc. would make for bad moral weather. Terrible things — from an ordinary moral perspective, watching what befalls som family you knew — start being done. Others in solidarity resist. The state responds eventually with violence against citizen “allies” preventing lawful deportations. 7/

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins At this point, to much of the country, state violence is not legitimate. Some groups resist with violence of their own. Now the “moral weather” is terrible, and all kinds of things become possible. All of this is not so extraordinary in human affairs. It’s quite ordinary. More extraordinary is the long run we’ve had without such things. It’s an achievement we should be careful with. /fin

in reply to self

@realcaseyrollins remember how the story of the boy who cried wolf ends.

you’ll have to apply your own judgment when the cassandras are unreliable. but unreliable cassandras doesn’t mean no danger is there.

@realcaseyrollins you don’t hear it from me every cycle. i used to be almost indifferent, in the 1990s through Y2K. a lot of people would say, “yeah, and look at GWB” but even there, a lot of people forget that an Iraq War was pretty likely even under Gore. but i think the era of not-so-much difference is gone, and on one side the risk of real catastrophe is quite serious. (honestly the last two decades have been gradual catastrophe, but gradually might precede suddenly.)

@realcaseyrollins i mean, i remember when Europeans felt that way in 1933. so ridiculous.

i am quite concerned. sure, the base case is always we muddle on largely as we always have. but the risks, from my perspective, of things going very bad are quite serious if the guy i don't want is victorious.

@realcaseyrollins Me neither, but I’m far from immunized.

the problem is Congress has ceased to serve the function of Congress so the other two branches fight over usurping the role.

people get so stressed about running out of thyme, but parsley, sage, and rosemary are enough.

“As for the problems with what is sometimes termed ‘regulation by enforcement,’ that’s exactly the incentive structure the right wing has set up by kneecapping agencies’ abilities to set rules.” @lopatto@mastodon.xyz theverge.com/24280387/gary-gen

@LesterB99 Interest rate policy ultimately has to become subject to democratic bounds. I have mixed feelings! People perceive now as a “high-interest” period, but from my perspective, growing up in the 70s and 80s, interest rates seem normal to low. Regardless, we can have the central bank tweak within bounds as a component of inflation / macro stabilization, but relying on it solely is a bad idea, and I think we probably want to cabin it to a range, something like 4% ± 2%.

Speaking of Bernie, a very good profile by @Ddiamond in, um, the Washington Post. washingtonpost.com/politics/20

This election season feels like an active shooter drill.

he asked the genie for a grand estate. he died instantly, but his children became very rich.

@dedicto @sjshancoxli seems apt!

@dedicto @sjshancoxli it sure feels like a near-death experience to me.